NFL Week 12 odds, picks: Cowboys thrash Giants on Thanksgiving, Steelers edge out Colts on Monday night time

NFL Week 12 odds, picks: Cowboys thrash Giants on Thanksgiving, Steelers edge out Colts on Monday night time

And identical to that, it is Thanksgiving. We’re nearly two-thirds of the way in which into the 2022 common season and now we are able to get pleasure from some turkey and stuffing to have a good time. We even have an excellent trio of video games on Thanksgiving to sink our tooth into as soon as the tryptophan kicks in and we sink into our couches.

In fact, a few of these Thanksgiving video games made their manner into my 5 week lockouts for Week 12 together with a number of different video games on deck later this weekend, together with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup. night time” and a crew that is backup that’s placing up double digits at dwelling.

2022 file

common season
ATS Locks of the Week
: 25-26-4
ATS: 72-86-6
ML: 97-67

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

Newest odds:

Dallas Cowboys -10

This has the makings of a Cowboys loss, nearly identically to Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota simply days in the past. New York confirmed some cracks in its basis within the loss to Detroit and misplaced a number of key contributors, together with prime cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That ought to permit the Cowboys’ offense to proceed to hum, however it’s their protection that might actually kill the sport. The Giants are permitting the second-highest rush fee (45%) within the NFL this season, whereas the Cowboys are making use of essentially the most speeding on opposing quarterbacks within the league. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 instances in victory, which is the third most of any sport this season. With the Giants as banged up as they’re and Dallas enjoying at a championship-caliber degree, they’re going to win this by double digits.

Projected Rating: Denims 30, Giants 20
The choice: Denims -9.5

Newest odds:

Miami Dolphins -13.5

The Texans may effectively make a quarterback commerce earlier than or throughout this sport, however the imaginative and prescient for this matchup stays the identical. Miami is coming off its Week 11 bye and is at the moment the No. 2 seed within the AFC and remains to be undefeated (7-0) when Tua Tagovailoa performs a whole sport. Onerous Rock Stadium has additionally been variety to the Dolphins of late as they’re 8-3 ATS of their final 11 dwelling video games. The Dolphins have already proven us they will rack up factors, scoring 30 or extra within the three video games main as much as halftime and there is no purpose to assume they will not get there once more when going through a Texans protection that ranks twenty ninth in DVOA. . In the meantime, Houston’s offense hasn’t topped 20 factors since Week 7.

Projected Rating: Dolphins 33, Texans 17
The selected: Dolphins -13

Newest odds:

Indianapolis Colts -2.5

Sure, I am cussed. I’ve pale the Colts the final two weeks on my locks and been burned by Jeff Saturday each instances. Effectively, I am going again to the pit once more, which can be trigger to name me clinically insane, however the Steelers are the again membership on this place. Pittsburgh ought to be capable to apply strain on Matt Ryan, as Indy’s offensive line confirmed some cracks, permitting Ryan to strain 11.1% of the throws on Sunday in opposition to Philadelphia. In the meantime, the Steelers blitz as a lot as any crew within the league getting into Week 12, which implies TJ Watt ought to feast on this favorable matchup. On prime of that, Pittsburgh’s run protection ranks within the prime 10 within the NFL in DVOA, suggesting the unit has the flexibility to decelerate Jonathan Taylor.

Projected Rating: Steelers 23, Colts 21
The selected: Steelers +2.5

Newest odds:

Detroit Lions +9.5

The Lions have been rolling in latest weeks, however I’ve a tough time betting in opposition to Josh Allen with this line under double figures. Sure, Detroit’s protection has performed higher in its earlier three video games, however that was in opposition to the Packers, Bears and Giants. Buffalo’s offense is a wholly completely different animal. Allen has traditionally performed effectively on Thanksgiving, because the Payments are 2-0 SU in each video games and the QB posted a 100-plus passer ranking in every contest. Whereas I believe Buffalo’s offense can get to 30 indoors at Ford Discipline, I do not see the Lions doing that on this situation. Particularly, I’ve my doubts concerning the safety in opposition to Jared Goff. Detroit ranks because the Twenty fourth-ranked pass-blocking crew within the NFL this season, in response to Professional Soccer Focus. In the meantime, Buffalo is the third-best speeding crew within the league underneath the identical ranking system.

Projected Rating: Payments 33, Lions 21
The selected: Payments -9.5

Newest odds:

Cleveland Browns +3.5

Tampa Bay appeared to show round simply earlier than the bye. After rallying to beat the Rams in Week 9 after which move the two.5-point favourite Seahawks in Germany, it seems just like the Bucs are about to fully proper the ship. They rushed the ball effectively in Week 10 (161 yards on 44 makes an attempt) and Tom Brady seemed good along with his complement of wholesome receivers. Within the meantime, they get a Browns crew that could be in for a disappointment after the Payments ran for his or her cash on Sunday and are poised to get Deshaun Watson again subsequent week. Since Kevin Stefanski got here to Cleveland, the membership is 17-26 ATS, which is the second-worst ATS mark within the NFL over that span.

Projected Rating: Buccaneers 27, Browns 20
The choice: Buccaneers -3.5

remainder of the group

patriots in vikings
Projected Rating: Vikings 24, Patriots 17
The choice: Vikings -2.5

flares on titans
Projected Rating: Titans 24, Bengals 23
The selected: Titans +1.5

Bears in Jets
Projected Rating: Jets 26, Bears 20
The choice: jets -4.5

Hawks in Commanders
Projected Rating: Commanders 26, Falcons 20
The selected: Commanders -4.5

broncos in panthers
Projected Rating: Panthers 23, Broncos 17
The selected: Panthers +2.5

Ravens on Jaguars
Projected Rating: Jaguars 24, Ravens 23
The choice: Jaguars +4

Chargers in Cardinals
Projected Rating: Chargers 30, Cardinals 23
The choice: Chargers -4.5

Raiders at Seahawks
Projected Rating: Seahawks 27, Raiders 23
The choice: Seahawks -3.5

Rams on Chiefs
Projected Rating: Chiefs 30, Rams 20
The choice: Rams +14.5

Saints within the 49ers
Projected Rating: 49ers 30, Saints 23
The selected: Saints +9

Packers at Eagles
Projected Rating: Eagles 33, Packers 23
The choice: Eagles -7

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